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Red332
222052.5
2481140.5
4143118.5
Blue305
2169102.9
584786.9
424147.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344227100200300400500332305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
140.50.4
140.2140.5
Auto23.8
Teleop57.7
End59.0
red by 37.6
102.91.9
101.1102.9
Auto6.7
Teleop48.2
End48.0
Second
118.50.4
118.2118.5
Auto15.0
Teleop45.0
End58.5
red by 31.7
86.91.9
85.086.9
Auto8.7
Teleop31.6
End46.6
Third
2220
#23
52.50.5
52.052.5
Auto11.5
Teleop26.3
End14.6
red by 5.4
4241
#37
47.12.0
45.147.1
Auto8.6
Teleop24.9
End13.6