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Red185
208175.4
421265.3
369568.0
Blue145
132962.8
415652.8
270472.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2091470100300400185145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2081
#12
75.40.6
74.574.0
Auto7.0
Teleop43.0
End25.4
red by 2.9
2704
#24
72.40.3
50.850.5
Auto5.8
Teleop32.4
End34.2
Second
3695
#21
68.00.6
60.760.1
Auto2.5
Teleop27.4
End38.1
red by 5.2
1329
#36
62.80.2
57.657.4
Auto4.5
Teleop33.8
End24.5
Third
4212
#28
65.30.6
54.954.3
Auto0.7
Teleop37.4
End27.2
red by 12.5
4156
#39
52.80.3
39.539.2
Auto5.6
Teleop25.0
End22.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed