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Red235
369568.0
335255.3
2169102.9
Blue299
2481140.5
173682.2
318484.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions238275100200300400500235299

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102.90.4
104.5105.0
Auto6.7
Teleop48.2
End48.0
blue by 37.6
140.52.9
126.1129.0
Auto23.8
Teleop57.7
End59.0
Second
3695
#21
68.00.4
61.261.6
Auto2.5
Teleop27.4
End38.1
blue by 16.4
84.44.8
59.364.0
Auto10.1
Teleop42.3
End32.0
Third
3352
#38
55.30.4
65.365.7
Auto2.3
Teleop21.5
End31.5
blue by 27.0
1736
#14
82.24.8
70.875.6
Auto9.8
Teleop36.4
End36.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsEarned