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Red393
2062115.2
162586.5
2451117.4
Blue270
582270.9
4485101.7
167587.4
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3882720100200500600700393270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117.41.2
115.3116.5
Auto30.6
Teleop50.3
End36.5
red by 15.7
101.70.0
101.5101.5
Auto13.4
Teleop44.8
End43.6
Second
115.21.2
113.1114.3
Auto15.7
Teleop58.4
End41.0
red by 27.8
87.40.0
87.187.1
Auto11.3
Teleop41.2
End34.9
Third
1625
#36
86.51.2
84.485.6
Auto9.3
Teleop32.8
End44.4
red by 15.6
5822
#14
70.90.0
70.770.7
Auto7.3
Teleop32.6
End30.9