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Red263
11182.5
204070.0
46167.7
Blue255
208182.7
531683.5
8135.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2422020100300400500600263255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#16
82.50.9
84.084.9
Auto5.7
Teleop37.7
End39.2
blue by 1.0
83.51.3
81.682.9
Auto9.4
Teleop38.2
End35.9
Second
70.00.9
71.572.4
Auto8.3
Teleop27.7
End34.1
blue by 12.6
2081
#21
82.71.3
80.882.1
Auto6.9
Teleop39.2
End36.5
Third
461
#18
67.70.9
68.068.9
Auto10.5
Teleop33.4
End23.8
red by 32.1
81
#35
35.61.3
34.335.6
Auto5.9
Teleop20.6
End9.1