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Red350
2062115.2
558665.8
174778.6
Blue305
930104.9
2194101.0
270457.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2612850100200400500600350305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
115.21.6
113.5115.1
Auto15.7
Teleop58.4
End41.0
red by 10.3
930
#31
104.90.8
109.5110.3
Auto10.2
Teleop42.3
End52.4
Second
1747
#19
78.61.6
73.975.4
Auto10.8
Teleop37.2
End30.6
blue by 22.3
2194
#11
101.00.8
101.4102.2
Auto14.1
Teleop47.4
End39.4
Third
5586
#10
65.81.6
64.065.6
Auto5.0
Teleop35.3
End25.5
red by 8.3
2704
#32
57.50.8
57.157.9
Auto6.9
Teleop29.9
End20.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
10%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed