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Red165
203979.9
335269.9
204070.0
Blue140
208182.7
162586.5
593454.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions247243150200300165140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2039
#15
79.94.3
82.678.2
Auto8.4
Teleop37.4
End34.1
blue by 6.5
1625
#36
86.56.4
95.388.9
Auto9.3
Teleop32.8
End44.4
Second
70.04.3
77.773.3
Auto8.3
Teleop27.7
End34.1
blue by 12.6
2081
#21
82.76.4
80.574.1
Auto6.9
Teleop39.2
End36.5
Third
69.94.3
69.865.4
Auto7.7
Teleop31.2
End31.1
red by 15.4
5934
#22
54.57.1
59.652.5
Auto7.1
Teleop24.1
End23.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed