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Red255
17174.1
558665.8
4485101.7
Blue194
162586.5
26985.9
174778.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2392710100200300400500255194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.71.6
97.398.9
Auto13.4
Teleop44.8
End43.6
red by 15.3
1625
#36
86.54.0
84.080.0
Auto9.3
Teleop32.8
End44.4
Second
171
#33
74.11.6
71.372.9
Auto8.7
Teleop32.7
End32.6
blue by 11.8
269
#28
85.94.0
88.584.5
Auto13.2
Teleop35.5
End37.2
Third
5586
#10
65.81.6
62.564.1
Auto5.0
Teleop35.3
End25.5
blue by 12.8
1747
#19
78.64.0
81.377.3
Auto10.8
Teleop37.2
End30.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
3%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed