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Red215
409674.2
220291.2
623771.5
Blue204
584793.3
1732102.7
558665.8
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions287289200250300350215204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2202
#12
91.23.9
93.789.8
Auto11.5
Teleop34.5
End45.2
blue by 11.6
1732
#13
102.74.7
109.5104.8
Auto14.0
Teleop47.9
End40.8
Second
74.23.9
93.589.6
Auto3.8
Teleop31.1
End39.3
blue by 19.0
5847
#30
93.34.7
95.891.1
Auto13.3
Teleop38.7
End41.3
Third
6237
#25
71.53.9
86.882.9
Auto8.4
Teleop27.4
End35.8
red by 5.7
5586
#10
65.84.7
68.764.0
Auto5.0
Teleop35.3
End25.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed7%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed