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Quarterfinal 3-12017 CAGE Match
Red395
695639.9
349485.7
1018106.5
Blue171
394080.9
326629.3
46167.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2721750100400500600700800395171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1018
#11
106.50.0
106.5→106.5
Auto13.8
Teleop52.2
End40.5
red by 25.6
3940
#12
80.90.0
80.9→80.9
Auto9.6
Teleop41.9
End29.4
Second
3494
#2
85.70.0
85.7→85.7
Auto9.4
Teleop39.8
End36.6
red by 17.9
461
#18
67.70.0
67.7→67.7
Auto10.5
Teleop33.4
End23.8
Third
6956
#24
39.90.0
39.9→39.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End13.8
red by 10.6
3266
#10
29.30.0
29.3→29.3
Auto4.0
Teleop28.1
End-2.7