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Semifinal 2-22017 CAGE Match
Red260
695639.9
349485.7
1018106.5
Blue285
234110.4
147139.9
5188102.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions277276200250300350260285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1018
#11
106.50.0
106.5106.5
Auto13.8
Teleop52.2
End40.5
blue by 3.9
234
#13
110.40.0
110.4110.4
Auto15.1
Teleop54.0
End41.4
Second
85.70.0
85.785.7
Auto9.4
Teleop39.8
End36.6
blue by 16.4
5188
#17
102.10.0
102.1102.1
Auto7.9
Teleop52.5
End41.7
Third
6956
#24
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End13.8
Level
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End13.8