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Quarterfinal 1-32017 Indiana State Championship
Red395
314785.3
135117.7
234100.5
Blue445
5188102.1
649896.6
152990.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345346320360380400420440395445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
135
#1
117.70.2
117.9→117.7
Auto11.0
Teleop53.7
End53.0
red by 15.6
5188
#19
102.11.3
101.6→102.9
Auto7.9
Teleop52.5
End41.7
Second
234
#10
100.50.2
100.7→100.5
Auto14.3
Teleop56.2
End30.1
red by 3.9
6498
#8
96.61.3
96.1→97.4
Auto13.1
Teleop51.8
End31.7
Third
3147
#24
85.30.2
85.5→85.3
Auto8.1
Teleop40.2
End37.0
blue by 4.8
1529
#17
90.01.3
89.6→90.9
Auto9.0
Teleop39.7
End41.3