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Quarterfinal 2-12017 Indiana State Championship
Red222
174773.1
86898.1
1501101.1
Blue451
829111.0
292108.5
317684.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions320330250300350400450222451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#20
101.11.2
102.5→101.3
Auto12.4
Teleop55.0
End33.8
blue by 9.9
829
#15
111.01.5
104.6→106.0
Auto10.8
Teleop53.2
End47.1
Second
868
#4
98.11.2
99.5→98.3
Auto12.1
Teleop45.5
End40.5
blue by 10.4
292
#5
108.51.5
102.1→103.6
Auto8.3
Teleop48.0
End52.3
Third
1747
#26
73.11.2
74.5→73.3
Auto14.7
Teleop36.4
End21.9
blue by 11.0
3176
#13
84.11.5
77.6→79.1
Auto13.1
Teleop40.3
End30.7