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Red264
174773.1
86898.1
1501101.1
Blue452
829111.0
292108.5
317684.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314336200250300350400450264452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1501
#20
101.10.2
101.3101.1
Auto12.4
Teleop55.0
End33.8
blue by 9.9
829
#15
111.01.4
106.0107.5
Auto10.8
Teleop53.2
End47.1
Second
868
#4
98.10.2
98.398.1
Auto12.1
Teleop45.5
End40.5
blue by 10.4
292
#5
108.51.4
103.6105.0
Auto8.3
Teleop48.0
End52.3
Third
1747
#26
73.10.2
73.373.1
Auto14.7
Teleop36.4
End21.9
blue by 11.0
3176
#13
84.11.4
79.180.5
Auto13.1
Teleop40.3
End30.7