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Quarterfinal 3-22017 Indiana State Championship
Red453
394080.9
1018119.8
1024108.3
Blue453
174197.6
1720114.4
4926102.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335386200300500600453453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1018
#2
119.81.0
118.7→119.8
Auto12.3
Teleop55.4
End52.1
red by 5.4
1720
#7
114.40.6
118.7→119.3
Auto15.5
Teleop59.0
End39.9
Second
1024
#11
108.31.0
107.3→108.3
Auto10.8
Teleop52.3
End45.3
red by 6.3
4926
#21
102.00.6
106.4→107.0
Auto8.9
Teleop44.8
End48.2
Third
3940
#32
80.91.0
79.9→80.9
Auto9.6
Teleop41.9
End29.4
blue by 16.7
1741
#9
97.60.6
102.0→102.6
Auto11.7
Teleop41.9
End44.0