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Red239
427294.6
829111.0
317684.1
Blue189
394080.9
44768.1
649896.6
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271265180200220240280300320340239189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#15
111.01.0
93.692.5
Auto10.8
Teleop53.2
End47.1
red by 14.5
96.66.1
89.483.3
Auto13.1
Teleop51.8
End31.7
Second
4272
#14
94.61.0
98.897.8
Auto13.7
Teleop54.8
End26.1
red by 13.6
3940
#32
80.96.1
92.686.5
Auto9.6
Teleop41.9
End29.4
Third
3176
#13
84.11.0
62.161.1
Auto13.1
Teleop40.3
End30.7
red by 16.0
447
#28
68.16.1
73.567.4
Auto10.1
Teleop32.3
End25.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
12%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed