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Red190
44768.1
152990.0
645185.1
Blue298
174197.6
292108.5
672194.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2472820100200400500190298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1529
#17
90.03.9
83.579.6
Auto9.0
Teleop39.7
End41.3
blue by 18.5
292
#5
108.52.0
92.294.2
Auto8.3
Teleop48.0
End52.3
Second
6451
#23
85.13.9
91.287.3
Auto6.3
Teleop37.6
End41.1
blue by 12.6
97.62.0
90.091.9
Auto11.7
Teleop41.9
End44.0
Third
447
#28
68.13.9
64.460.5
Auto10.1
Teleop32.3
End25.7
blue by 25.9
6721
#25
94.02.0
81.483.4
Auto7.8
Teleop44.1
End42.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed