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Red181
386571.8
152990.0
46182.6
Blue325
427294.6
4926102.0
292108.5
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261298100200400500181325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1529
#17
90.04.8
84.079.2
Auto9.0
Teleop39.7
End41.3
blue by 18.5
292
#5
108.53.1
82.986.0
Auto8.3
Teleop48.0
End52.3
Second
461
#30
82.64.8
90.085.2
Auto10.2
Teleop39.9
End32.5
blue by 19.5
4926
#21
102.03.1
99.5102.6
Auto8.9
Teleop44.8
End48.2
Third
3865
#29
71.84.8
78.773.9
Auto8.2
Teleop32.0
End31.6
blue by 22.8
4272
#14
94.63.1
95.798.8
Auto13.7
Teleop54.8
End26.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed4%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed