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Red354
234100.5
829111.0
44768.1
Blue285
292108.5
1024108.3
5188102.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27330302004006008001,000354285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
829
#15
111.02.7
90.893.6
Auto10.8
Teleop53.2
End47.1
red by 2.5
292
#5
108.50.1
86.086.1
Auto8.3
Teleop48.0
End52.3
Second
234
#10
100.52.7
101.5104.2
Auto14.3
Teleop56.2
End30.1
blue by 7.8
1024
#11
108.30.1
92.492.5
Auto10.8
Teleop52.3
End45.3
Third
447
#28
68.12.7
70.773.5
Auto10.1
Teleop32.3
End25.7
blue by 34.0
5188
#19
102.10.1
105.5105.5
Auto7.9
Teleop52.5
End41.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
8%Rotor oddsMissed3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed