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Red221
458072.8
394080.9
410395.9
Blue331
174197.6
234100.5
645185.1
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions264310100200400500221331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4103
#22
95.92.7
98.295.5
Auto14.9
Teleop44.8
End36.2
blue by 4.6
234
#10
100.50.8
102.5103.3
Auto14.3
Teleop56.2
End30.1
Second
3940
#32
80.92.7
83.480.7
Auto9.6
Teleop41.9
End29.4
blue by 16.7
97.60.8
102.0102.8
Auto11.7
Teleop41.9
End44.0
Third
4580
#16
72.82.7
75.172.4
Auto9.9
Teleop31.1
End31.8
blue by 12.2
6451
#23
85.10.8
84.285.1
Auto6.3
Teleop37.6
End41.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed8%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed