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Red464
4926102.0
1720114.4
174197.6
Blue415
427294.6
71126.6
498284.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3663970200600800464415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
114.40.9
116.1117.0
Auto15.5
Teleop59.0
End39.9
blue by 12.2
71
#3
126.60.2
126.4126.6
Auto15.0
Teleop58.3
End53.3
Second
4926
#21
102.00.9
103.8104.7
Auto8.9
Teleop44.8
End48.2
red by 7.5
4272
#14
94.60.2
94.494.6
Auto13.7
Teleop54.8
End26.1
Third
97.60.9
99.4100.3
Auto11.7
Teleop41.9
End44.0
red by 13.0
4982
#12
84.70.2
84.484.7
Auto11.9
Teleop37.6
End35.2