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Red210
482460.7
71105.2
1501108.3
Blue269
448596.1
174765.7
7473.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3032420100200400500210269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.31.5
109.9108.3
Auto13.7
Teleop46.3
End48.3
red by 12.3
4485
#13
96.10.6
97.197.6
Auto11.1
Teleop40.4
End44.5
Second
71
#1
105.21.5
106.7105.2
Auto14.2
Teleop50.6
End40.4
red by 32.0
74
#26
73.10.6
74.174.7
Auto8.6
Teleop40.8
End23.8
Third
4824
#29
60.71.5
62.260.7
Auto5.9
Teleop32.0
End22.8
blue by 5.0
1747
#11
65.70.6
66.767.3
Auto11.3
Teleop28.4
End26.0