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Red317
548470.6
2960106.9
205488.0
Blue256
277168.2
498277.2
219769.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2992120100400500600317256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
106.90.5
108.9109.4
Auto9.7
Teleop45.2
End52.0
red by 29.7
77.21.0
76.577.5
Auto9.7
Teleop35.5
End32.0
Second
88.00.5
90.090.5
Auto12.1
Teleop46.8
End29.1
red by 18.7
2197
#18
69.41.0
68.669.6
Auto7.8
Teleop41.3
End20.2
Third
5484
#16
70.60.5
72.673.0
Auto4.0
Teleop29.8
End36.8
red by 2.4
2771
#12
68.21.0
67.468.4
Auto6.0
Teleop33.8
End28.4