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Red235
458062.4
5502100.5
314797.6
Blue240
349473.3
50383.8
672176.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions268248150200300350400450235240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.50.4
97.597.2
Auto7.7
Teleop40.6
End52.3
red by 16.7
503
#10
83.80.0
85.585.6
Auto9.4
Teleop40.8
End33.7
Second
97.60.4
94.694.3
Auto10.3
Teleop36.2
End51.1
red by 21.6
6721
#25
76.00.0
77.877.8
Auto4.6
Teleop32.0
End39.4
Third
4580
#23
62.40.4
59.459.0
Auto10.4
Teleop27.6
End24.4
blue by 10.9
3494
#24
73.30.0
75.075.0
Auto6.9
Teleop31.0
End35.4