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Red232
394086.5
290965.9
458062.4
Blue285
511065.9
5502100.5
349473.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions162191050100250300350400232285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#15
86.54.9
60.965.9
Auto11.9
Teleop36.3
End38.3
blue by 14.0
100.55.2
68.373.5
Auto7.7
Teleop40.6
End52.3
Second
2909
#31
65.94.9
47.552.4
Auto10.1
Teleop37.7
End18.1
blue by 7.4
3494
#24
73.35.2
57.362.5
Auto6.9
Teleop31.0
End35.4
Third
4580
#23
62.44.9
49.454.3
Auto10.4
Teleop27.6
End24.4
blue by 3.5
5110
#19
65.98.7
51.560.1
Auto9.3
Teleop27.2
End29.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed