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Red226
335783.8
393660.3
1720108.4
Blue200
349473.3
482460.7
164666.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2161580100300400226200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108.43.2
90.293.4
Auto15.7
Teleop45.7
End47.0
red by 35.2
3494
#24
73.32.4
65.167.5
Auto6.9
Teleop31.0
End35.4
Second
3357
#30
83.83.2
57.360.5
Auto11.5
Teleop37.9
End34.3
red by 17.3
1646
#27
66.42.4
51.053.4
Auto9.6
Teleop36.1
End20.7
Third
3936
#20
60.31.9
49.851.7
Auto11.3
Teleop32.9
End16.1
blue by 0.3
4824
#29
60.72.4
42.544.9
Auto5.9
Teleop32.0
End22.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed