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Red200
286731.2
386578.7
5502100.5
Blue294
393660.3
482460.7
71105.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2052270100300400500200294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
100.50.1
94.694.7
Auto7.7
Teleop40.6
End52.3
blue by 4.6
71
#1
105.24.2
103.8108.0
Auto14.2
Teleop50.6
End40.4
Second
3865
#14
78.70.1
73.673.7
Auto11.4
Teleop30.5
End36.8
red by 18.0
4824
#29
60.73.4
55.358.7
Auto5.9
Teleop32.0
End22.8
Third
2867
#34
31.20.2
29.930.0
Auto8.3
Teleop35.8
End-12.9
blue by 29.1
3936
#20
60.33.4
53.757.1
Auto11.3
Teleop32.9
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed