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Red255
335783.8
400460.7
46190.0
Blue273
548470.6
498277.2
393660.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2452040100300400500255273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#8
90.01.8
86.788.5
Auto8.1
Teleop34.8
End47.1
red by 12.7
77.23.2
73.376.5
Auto9.7
Teleop35.5
End32.0
Second
3357
#30
83.82.0
82.184.2
Auto11.5
Teleop37.9
End34.3
red by 13.2
5484
#16
70.63.6
69.072.6
Auto4.0
Teleop29.8
End36.8
Third
4004
#21
60.72.0
58.660.7
Auto10.3
Teleop37.3
End13.1
red by 0.3
3936
#20
60.33.2
57.160.3
Auto11.3
Teleop32.9
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed