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Red408
152984.0
71112.1
1720109.5
Blue252
492699.5
427295.3
318087.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3533010100200400500600700408252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#1
112.10.4
117.1116.7
Auto13.8
Teleop59.2
End39.0
red by 12.6
4926
#16
99.50.8
101.1100.4
Auto9.2
Teleop38.0
End52.2
Second
109.50.4
114.5114.1
Auto18.4
Teleop52.1
End39.0
red by 14.2
4272
#12
95.30.8
97.096.2
Auto13.6
Teleop53.6
End28.1
Third
1529
#14
84.00.4
89.088.6
Auto8.6
Teleop35.2
End40.2
blue by 3.4
3180
#21
87.40.8
89.188.3
Auto9.8
Teleop44.3
End33.3