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Red267
645192.4
349488.3
394097.8
Blue255
86886.4
4103100.3
101898.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27728605001,0001,5002,000267255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#22
97.80.2
90.290.0
Auto13.2
Teleop39.9
End44.7
blue by 2.5
4103
#17
100.31.0
97.396.2
Auto11.8
Teleop41.2
End47.4
Second
6451
#30
92.40.2
85.084.9
Auto7.1
Teleop37.5
End47.8
blue by 5.8
1018
#10
98.21.0
84.883.8
Auto8.1
Teleop50.7
End39.4
Third
88.30.2
89.389.1
Auto7.9
Teleop37.9
End42.5
red by 1.9
868
#19
86.41.0
88.487.3
Auto8.0
Teleop42.8
End35.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed