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Red230
152984.0
219785.7
427295.3
Blue225
174188.1
317662.0
645192.4
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2581990100300400500600230225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4272
#12
95.34.2
95.791.5
Auto13.6
Teleop53.6
End28.1
red by 2.9
6451
#30
92.40.2
70.971.1
Auto7.1
Teleop37.5
End47.8
Second
2197
#15
85.74.2
69.465.2
Auto8.1
Teleop40.3
End37.2
blue by 2.4
1741
#28
88.10.2
76.376.5
Auto6.3
Teleop36.6
End45.2
Third
1529
#14
84.04.2
72.568.3
Auto8.6
Teleop35.2
End40.2
red by 22.0
3176
#34
62.00.2
49.950.1
Auto7.2
Teleop34.8
End20.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed