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Red290
29282.9
219785.7
5188105.5
Blue236
174188.1
4536.7
1501123.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282257100200400500290236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5188
#13
105.51.4
97.598.9
Auto9.1
Teleop50.2
End46.1
blue by 18.5
123.90.8
120.8120.0
Auto13.3
Teleop58.5
End52.0
Second
2197
#15
85.71.4
86.187.5
Auto8.1
Teleop40.3
End37.2
blue by 2.4
1741
#28
88.10.8
88.888.1
Auto6.3
Teleop36.6
End45.2
Third
292
#27
82.91.4
80.882.1
Auto6.7
Teleop42.2
End34.0
red by 46.2
45
#37
36.70.8
37.737.0
Auto5.0
Teleop30.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed2%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed