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Red318
501055.6
1501123.9
594480.8
Blue305
152984.0
394791.7
548487.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2512810100200400500318305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123.94.7
116.8121.5
Auto13.3
Teleop58.5
End52.0
red by 32.2
91.72.8
86.389.1
Auto10.7
Teleop44.1
End36.9
Second
5944
#31
80.84.7
75.780.3
Auto9.0
Teleop33.9
End38.0
blue by 6.2
5484
#29
87.02.8
84.587.3
Auto7.1
Teleop35.7
End44.2
Third
5010
#32
55.64.7
50.154.8
Auto9.2
Teleop32.5
End14.0
blue by 28.4
1529
#14
84.02.8
92.094.8
Auto8.6
Teleop35.2
End40.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
2%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed