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Red265
152984.0
71112.1
1720109.5
Blue192
102494.6
349488.3
86886.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351286100200400500265192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71
#1
112.11.1
115.7114.5
Auto13.8
Teleop59.2
End39.0
red by 17.5
1024
#25
94.62.6
97.194.6
Auto11.8
Teleop49.1
End33.7
Second
109.51.1
113.1112.0
Auto18.4
Teleop52.1
End39.0
red by 21.2
88.32.6
90.888.3
Auto7.9
Teleop37.9
End42.5
Third
1529
#14
84.01.1
87.686.4
Auto8.6
Teleop35.2
End40.2
blue by 2.4
868
#19
86.42.6
88.986.4
Auto8.0
Teleop42.8
End35.6