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Red427
219785.7
1501123.9
234106.7
Blue287
101898.2
135116.4
174188.1
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions355316100200400500600427287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123.90.3
124.0123.7
Auto13.3
Teleop58.5
End52.0
red by 7.6
135
#5
116.40.4
116.7116.4
Auto12.3
Teleop48.5
End55.6
Second
234
#3
106.70.3
106.8106.5
Auto13.5
Teleop55.8
End37.4
red by 8.5
1018
#10
98.20.4
98.698.2
Auto8.1
Teleop50.7
End39.4
Third
2197
#15
85.70.3
85.885.5
Auto8.1
Teleop40.3
End37.2
blue by 2.4
1741
#28
88.10.4
88.488.1
Auto6.3
Teleop36.6
End45.2