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Red255
44759.5
427295.7
1501104.7
Blue280
101878.2
23483.7
492671.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2832310100200400500600255280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
104.70.1
105.1104.9
Auto8.5
Teleop46.9
End49.3
red by 21.0
234
#4
83.70.6
81.382.0
Auto11.4
Teleop37.9
End34.4
Second
95.70.1
96.095.9
Auto12.5
Teleop52.2
End31.0
red by 17.5
1018
#30
78.20.6
75.876.4
Auto13.7
Teleop40.5
End24.0
Third
447
#31
59.50.1
59.959.8
Auto7.7
Teleop24.7
End27.1
blue by 12.2
4926
#15
71.70.7
69.169.8
Auto9.9
Teleop32.2
End29.7