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Red305
44759.5
427295.7
1501104.7
Blue148
314763.9
355969.0
174755.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2891860100400500600700305148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
104.71.0
104.7105.7
Auto8.5
Teleop46.9
End49.3
red by 35.7
69.01.0
69.968.9
Auto5.9
Teleop30.2
End32.8
Second
95.71.0
95.796.7
Auto12.5
Teleop52.2
End31.0
red by 31.8
3147
#13
63.91.0
64.863.8
Auto7.4
Teleop26.4
End30.1
Third
447
#31
59.51.0
59.560.5
Auto7.7
Teleop24.7
End27.1
red by 4.3
1747
#21
55.31.1
56.355.2
Auto8.2
Teleop27.5
End19.6