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Red215
355969.0
594450.3
492671.7
Blue166
86886.4
458035.7
23483.7
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1361850100300400500215166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4926
#15
71.73.2
31.935.2
Auto9.9
Teleop32.2
End29.7
blue by 14.7
868
#29
86.43.1
86.082.9
Auto5.3
Teleop35.5
End45.6
Second
69.03.2
63.366.6
Auto5.9
Teleop30.2
End32.8
blue by 14.7
234
#4
83.73.1
53.250.1
Auto11.4
Teleop37.9
End34.4
Third
5944
#33
50.33.2
40.743.9
Auto7.3
Teleop34.3
End8.7
red by 14.5
4580
#38
35.73.1
30.126.9
Auto5.4
Teleop16.6
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed