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Red270
348759.9
394058.9
46182.5
Blue166
540222.6
594450.3
174176.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204134050100250300350270166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
461
#3
82.56.3
75.481.7
Auto4.3
Teleop28.0
End50.2
red by 6.3
1741
#23
76.30.4
60.560.9
Auto4.2
Teleop28.7
End43.4
Second
3487
#37
59.96.8
51.157.9
Auto5.7
Teleop21.0
End33.2
red by 9.7
5944
#33
50.30.4
43.944.3
Auto7.3
Teleop34.3
End8.7
Third
58.96.3
57.463.7
Auto9.7
Teleop34.1
End15.1
red by 36.3
5402
#35
22.60.4
32.933.3
Auto4.0
Teleop14.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed