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Red192
86886.4
410390.0
174176.3
Blue245
101878.2
23483.7
492671.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2812220100400500600192245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
90.01.5
91.790.2
Auto10.7
Teleop33.0
End46.2
red by 6.2
234
#4
83.70.6
78.979.5
Auto11.4
Teleop37.9
End34.4
Second
868
#29
86.41.6
88.486.7
Auto5.3
Teleop35.5
End45.6
red by 8.3
1018
#30
78.20.6
73.373.9
Auto13.7
Teleop40.5
End24.0
Third
1741
#23
76.31.5
78.076.5
Auto4.2
Teleop28.7
End43.4
red by 4.5
4926
#15
71.70.7
66.367.0
Auto9.9
Teleop32.2
End29.7