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Red355
3452120.1
2767123.8
118111.1
Blue540
195147.4
1619134.3
2590107.9
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions428490200300400600700355540

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123.80.5
124.3123.8
Auto24.7
Teleop66.3
End32.8
blue by 23.6
195
#4
147.40.6
146.8147.4
Auto33.7
Teleop68.5
End45.3
Second
3452
#45
120.10.5
120.6120.1
Auto14.6
Teleop50.4
End55.1
blue by 14.2
134.30.6
133.7134.3
Auto25.4
Teleop66.3
End42.5
Third
118
#14
111.10.5
111.6111.1
Auto25.3
Teleop55.2
End30.5
red by 3.2
2590
#20
107.90.6
107.3107.9
Auto13.8
Teleop54.8
End39.3