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Red510
340111.3
1732109.5
2056148.0
Blue489
225109.0
384797.8
384105.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions520365200300400600700800510489

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#12
148.00.4
148.7149.2
Auto32.2
Teleop67.0
End48.8
red by 39.0
225
#9
109.01.6
109.2110.8
Auto17.8
Teleop56.0
End35.2
Second
340
#38
111.30.4
112.0112.4
Auto9.1
Teleop58.6
End43.5
red by 5.9
384
#11
105.41.6
105.6107.2
Auto10.7
Teleop57.8
End36.9
Third
1732
#31
109.50.4
110.2110.7
Auto16.0
Teleop56.6
End36.9
red by 11.6
3847
#40
97.81.6
98.099.6
Auto13.0
Teleop42.0
End42.9