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Red531
2590107.9
1619134.3
195147.4
Blue453
2481118.6
125134.2
2168114.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions480424100200300600700531453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#4
147.40.7
144.0144.7
Auto33.7
Teleop68.5
End45.3
red by 13.2
125
#8
134.20.3
133.5133.2
Auto28.9
Teleop51.7
End53.6
Second
134.30.7
130.8131.5
Auto25.4
Teleop66.3
End42.5
red by 15.7
2481
#16
118.60.3
117.9117.6
Auto27.3
Teleop55.4
End35.9
Third
2590
#20
107.90.7
104.5105.2
Auto13.8
Teleop54.8
End39.3
blue by 6.3
2168
#25
114.20.3
113.5113.2
Auto13.1
Teleop51.9
End49.3