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Red393
4587101.0
1676116.5
1619134.3
Blue222
584287.0
1024108.8
3478105.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37533202006008001,000393222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
134.32.5
127.2129.7
Auto25.4
Teleop66.3
End42.5
red by 25.4
1024
#27
108.86.6
105.298.6
Auto8.4
Teleop52.5
End47.9
Second
1676
#24
116.52.5
118.9121.4
Auto14.7
Teleop52.8
End49.1
red by 10.8
3478
#34
105.76.6
108.7102.1
Auto15.0
Teleop56.6
End34.1
Third
4587
#59
101.02.5
104.3106.8
Auto9.9
Teleop46.9
End44.3
red by 14.0
5842
#63
87.06.6
106.9100.3
Auto20.6
Teleop44.2
End22.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
54%Rotor oddsEarned4%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
21%Pressure oddsEarned35%Pressure oddsEarned