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Red391
107118.9
1114137.3
2832107.3
Blue325
469117.3
167591.5
1018106.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37734802006008001,0001,2001,400391325

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
137.32.4
134.2136.6
Auto30.2
Teleop56.1
End51.0
red by 20.0
469
#37
117.30.6
119.4118.8
Auto10.0
Teleop51.5
End55.9
Second
107
#13
118.92.4
110.2112.6
Auto17.6
Teleop49.9
End51.4
red by 12.3
1018
#52
106.50.6
119.7119.0
Auto13.8
Teleop52.2
End40.5
Third
2832
#17
107.32.4
110.0112.5
Auto14.5
Teleop46.9
End45.9
red by 15.9
1675
#57
91.50.6
95.394.6
Auto10.2
Teleop44.2
End37.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
77%Rotor oddsEarned86%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
21%Pressure oddsEarned1%Pressure oddsMissed