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Red407
2767123.8
2122128.9
1024108.8
Blue285
147771.7
50396.3
2451109.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3823070100200500600700407285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
128.93.6
134.5138.1
Auto32.5
Teleop52.7
End43.8
red by 19.3
2451
#19DQ
109.61.4
107.4106.0
Auto28.6
Teleop48.8
End32.1
Second
123.83.6
120.2123.8
Auto24.7
Teleop66.3
End32.8
red by 27.5
503
#58
96.31.4
100.198.7
Auto13.3
Teleop50.0
End33.0
Third
1024
#27
108.83.6
98.6102.2
Auto8.4
Teleop52.5
End47.9
red by 37.1
1477
#68
71.71.4
93.692.2
Auto7.4
Teleop38.0
End26.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
20%Rotor oddsEarned38%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
100%Pressure oddsEarned8%Pressure oddsMissed