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Red355
4272103.4
2767123.8
150683.2
Blue349
1987111.3
2056148.0
2168114.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33541502006008001,000355349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
123.81.1
120.2121.3
Auto24.7
Teleop66.3
End32.8
blue by 24.2
2056
#12
148.02.3
151.6149.2
Auto32.2
Teleop67.0
End48.8
Second
4272
#10
103.41.1
96.897.9
Auto13.1
Teleop49.4
End40.9
blue by 10.8
2168
#25
114.22.3
121.0118.7
Auto13.1
Teleop51.9
End49.3
Third
1506
#64
83.21.1
111.5112.6
Auto15.6
Teleop40.3
End27.3
blue by 28.2
1987
#21
111.32.3
111.5109.2
Auto15.1
Teleop53.7
End42.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
78%Rotor oddsMissed83%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
64%Pressure oddsEarned90%Pressure oddsEarned