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Red255
147771.7
2194100.2
150683.2
Blue310
279191.9
584287.0
5197.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions311311220240260280300320340360380255310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2194
#30
100.23.3
108.9105.6
Auto14.8
Teleop44.3
End41.1
red by 3.3
51
#49
97.01.6
105.7107.3
Auto12.0
Teleop39.7
End45.3
Second
1506
#64
83.23.3
104.0100.7
Auto15.6
Teleop40.3
End27.3
blue by 8.7
2791
#41
91.91.6
85.286.8
Auto12.5
Teleop49.9
End29.5
Third
1477
#68
71.73.3
92.288.8
Auto7.4
Teleop38.0
End26.3
blue by 15.3
5842
#63
87.01.6
95.096.6
Auto20.6
Teleop44.2
End22.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
51%Rotor oddsMissed3%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed4%Pressure oddsMissed