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Red305
19191.4
469117.3
4587101.0
Blue303
1732109.5
1987111.3
4206116.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3143660100200400500600305303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#37
117.30.0
112.9112.9
Auto10.0
Teleop51.5
End55.9
red by 0.5
4206
#22
116.92.5
117.1114.5
Auto12.7
Teleop58.6
End45.6
Second
4587
#59
101.00.0
102.7102.7
Auto9.9
Teleop46.9
End44.3
blue by 10.3
1987
#21
111.32.5
109.3106.7
Auto15.1
Teleop53.7
End42.5
Third
191
#66
91.40.0
89.689.6
Auto11.1
Teleop33.4
End46.9
blue by 18.1
1732
#31
109.52.5
114.9112.3
Auto16.0
Teleop56.6
End36.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
15%Rotor oddsMissed42%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed