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Red301
279191.9
2832107.3
426588.3
Blue347
4888.5
125134.2
21799.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2973510100200400500600700301347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2832
#17
107.31.5
107.8106.3
Auto14.5
Teleop46.9
End45.9
blue by 26.8
125
#8
134.20.7
135.6135.0
Auto28.9
Teleop51.7
End53.6
Second
2791
#41
91.91.5
86.885.3
Auto12.5
Teleop49.9
End29.5
blue by 7.5
217
#26
99.40.7
100.499.8
Auto15.5
Teleop53.0
End30.9
Third
4265
#53
88.31.5
94.292.7
Auto14.8
Teleop52.0
End21.6
blue by 0.1
48
#39
88.50.7
90.790.1
Auto14.8
Teleop47.1
End26.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
25%Rotor oddsEarned23%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed87%Pressure oddsEarned